At the research frontier
NBER Working Paper – Branching Out: Capital Mobility and Long-Run Growth
Author(s):Sarah Quincy & Chenzi Xu Date:November, 2025 Abstract: We study the long-run effects of the first wave of U.S. banking market integration on capital mobility and manufacturing productivity. Using newly digitized bank and branch balance sheet data matched to state and county panels, we provide direct evidence that branching produced lasting productivity gains without aggregate[…]
BoE Working Paper – Climate policy and banks’ portfolio allocation
Author(s):Giovanni Covi, Maren Froemel, Dennis Reinhardt and Nora Wegner Date:October 31, 2025 Abstract: How do banks respond to transition risk and which mechanisms drive this response? We shed new light on this question using data on granular international large exposures of UK banks. Climate policy is the main source of transition risk we use. We[…]
ECB Working Paper – Household borrowing and monetary policy transmission: post-pandemic insights from nine European credit registers
Author(s):Olivier De Jonghe et al. Date:November, 2025 Abstract: We study heterogeneity in households’ credit across nine European countries (Belgium, Spain, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Portugal, and Slovakia) during 2022-2024 using granular credit register data. We first document substantial between- and within-country variation in mortgage and consumer lending by borrower age, loan maturity, and interest[…]
ECB Working Paper – Banking on assumptions? How banks model deposit maturities
Author(s):Lara Coulier, Cosimo Pancaro, Livia Pancotto & Alessio Reghezza Date:November, 2025 Abstract: How do banks manage the behavioural maturity of non-maturing deposits (NMDs)? Using a rich and confidential dataset, we investigate how banks model deposit maturities based on internal assumptions. Although NMDs are contractually floating-rate liabilities with zero maturity, banks reallocate them across different maturity[…]
NBER Working Paper – Supervising Failing Banks
Author(s):Sergio A. Correia, Stephan Luck & Emil Verner Date:October, 2025 Abstract: This paper studies the role of banking supervision in anticipating, monitoring, and disciplining failing banks. We document that supervisors anticipate most bank failures with a high degree of accuracy. Supervisors play an important role in requiring troubled banks to recognize losses, taking enforcement actions,[…]
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