At the research frontier
BIS Bulletin – Retail investors in private credit
Author(s): Iñaki Aldasoro, Sebastian Doerr and Karamfil Todorov Date:July 9, 2025 Key Takeaways: Link:BIS Bulletin No 106: Retail investors in private credit
CEPR Discussion Paper – The Global Macro Database: A New International Macroeconomic Dataset
Author(s):Karsten Müller, Chenzi Xu, Mohamed Lehbib & Ziliang Chen Date:February 11, 2025 Abstract: The Global Macro Database is an open-source, continuously updated dataset of macroeconomic statistics that unifies and extends existing resources. By harmonizing and integrating data from 32 major contemporary sources—including the IMF, World Bank, and OECD—with historical records from 78 additional datasets, we[…]
CEPR Discussion Paper – Violent Conflict and Cross-Border Lending
Author(s):Ralph De Haas, Mikhail Mamonov, Alexander Popov & Iliriana Shala Date:December 7, 2024 Abstract: How do violent conflicts affect cross-border lending? Using data on syndicated loans by over 14,000 creditors to firms in 179 countries between 1989-2020, we find that when violent conflict erupts in a country, foreign banks reduce overall lending relative to domestic[…]
Two Centuries of Systemic Bank Runs
Author(s):Rustam Jamilov, Tobias König, Karsten Müller, and Farzad Saidi Date:November, 2024 Abstract: We study bank runs using a novel historical cross-country dataset that covers 184 countries since 1800 and combines a new narrative chronology with statistical indicators of bank deposit withdrawals. We document the following facts: (i) the unconditional likelihood of a bank run is[…]
Housing Is the Financial Cycle: Evidence from 100 Years of Local Building Permits
Author(s):Gustavo Cortes and Cameron LaPoint Date:November, 2024 Abstract: Does the housing market lead the financial cycle? We address this question by creating a new hand-collected database spanning a century of monthly building permit quantities and valuations for all U.S. states and the 60 largest MSAs. We show that the option to build embedded in permits[…]
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